Umbiko we-《AI Index 2026》 okhishwe yiNyuvesi yaseStanford ubonisa ukuthi abaphenduli baseChina banombono omuhle kakhulu nge-AI kunabaseMelika.
Idatha ibonisa ukuthi u-84% wabaphenduli baseChina uthe uzizwa ejabule ngemikhiqizo nezinsizakalo ze-AI, kanti eMelika leli nani lingu-38%. Olunye ucwaningo lokwethembana olwenziwe ngu-Edelman lubonise ukuthi u-72% wabaphenduli baseChina uthe uyayethemba i-AI, kanti eMelika bangama-32% kuphela.
Umbiko waseStanford uveza ukuthi umehluko ekusebenzeni kwamamodeli e-AI aseMelika naseChina usucishe waphela, futhi amamodeli ala mazwe abelokhu eshintshana ngokuhola kusukela ekuqaleni kuka-2025.
Lo mbiko usekelwe ekuhlaziyweni kwedatha enezici eziningi, okubandakanya intuthuko yezobuchwepheshe, umthelela kwezomnotho kanye nokusabela komphakathi. Mayelana namakhono ezobuchwepheshe, imboni yanikela ngamamodeli aphambili aziwayo angaphezu kuka-90% ngo-2025. Amamodeli amaningi afinyelela noma adlula izinga lokusebenza kwabantu ezivivinyweni ezinjengezinkinga zesayensi ezisezingeni lobudokotela, ukucabanga ngezindlela eziningi kanye nemincintiswano yezibalo. Esivivinyweni esibalulekile sokubhala amakhodi i-SWE-bench Verified, ukusebenza kwamamodeli kukhuphuke kusuka ku-60% kuya cishe ku-100% kungakapheli unyaka. Izinga lokwamukelwa yizinhlangano lifinyelele ku-88%, kanti abafundi baseyunivesithi abangaphezu kuka-80% sebevele basebenzisa i-AI ekhiqizayo.
Mayelana nokusetshenziswa kwe-AI nokwethembana komphakathi, i-AI ekhiqizayo yafinyelela ezingeni lokusetshenziswa ngabantu elingu-53% phakathi neminyaka emithathu, ngesivinini esidlula esamakhompyutha siqu kanye ne-inthanethi. Ngokwesilinganiso, ekuqaleni kuka-2026 abathengi baseMelika bathola inani lonyaka elingu-1,720 billion dollars kumathuluzi e-AI ekhiqizayo (inothi: ngokwezinga lokushintshisana lamanje, cishe lilingana no-1.16 trillion yuan waseChina), kanti inani elitholwa ngumsebenzisi ngamunye liphindeke kabili kusukela ngo-2025 kuya ku-2026.
Mayelana nokwethemba komphakathi ukuthi uhulumeni uzolawula i-AI, iMelika ibe ngaphansi kunawo wonke amazwe ahlolwe, ngo-31%. Mayelana nemibono yomphakathi nochwepheshe, u-73% wongoti be-AI ulindele ukuthi i-AI ibe nomthelela omuhle endleleni abantu abasebenza ngayo, kanti emphakathini bangama-23% kuphela ababelana ngalo mbono. Kukhona futhi umehluko wokubona ongaba ngamaphesenti angu-50 mayelana nomthelela we-AI emnothweni nasekunakekelweni kwezempilo.
IBloomberg iveza ukuthi umehluko wedatha phakathi kweChina neMelika awusho ukuthi abantu baseChina abaziboni izingozi ze-AI, futhi awusho ukuthi abantu baseMelika basebenzisa i-AI kancane. Umehluko omkhulu phakathi kwemiphakathi yamazwe womabili usekutheni ingabe izinzuzo ze-AI zizobazuzisa yini bona, kanye nasemibonweni ehlukene mayelana nokuthi izinkampani zobuchwepheshe “ziyawulalela yini uhulumeni”.
Eminyakeni yamuva, izingxoxo zomphakathi waseMelika nge-AI bezigxile kakhulu ekuthatheni imisebenzi, olwazini olungamanga kanye nokuthi i-AI ingase idlule amakhono abantu. NaseChina kukhona ukukhathazeka ngokuthi i-AI ingathinta imisebenzi, kodwa ukwamukelwa kwe-AI jikelele emphakathini waseChina kusephezulu.
Ukuhlaziywa okukhishwe yiBrookings Institution ngoJuni 2026 kuphakamisa ukuthi ukunaka kweChina i-AI kugxile kakhulu ekuyihlanganiseni nezimboni, ezemfundo, ezempilo kanye nocwaningo lwesayensi, kanti imboni yezobuchwepheshe yaseMelika igxile kakhulu ku-AGI, okuwumgomo wokuthuthukisa ubuhlakani bokwenziwa obujwayelekile babantu.
Umcwaningi weBrookings Institution uKyle Chan wake wasebenzisa inkulumo ethi “AI-pilled, but not AGI-pilled” ukuchaza lo mehluko, okusho ukuthi iChina iyinaka kakhulu i-AI, kodwa ayibheki ukufeza i-AGI njengomgomo wayo oyinhloko nowodwa. Ngokombono wakhe, iChina igcizelela kakhulu ukusebenzisa i-AI ukukhulisa ukukhiqiza nokusebenzisa ubuchwepheshe emikhakheni ehlukahlukene yezomnotho nomphakathi.
Lo mehluko uhlobene futhi nolwazi lokuthuthukiswa kwezobuchwepheshe emazweni womabili eminyakeni engu-20 edlule. Kubathengi abaningi baseChina, izinhlelo zobuchwepheshe ezinjengokukhokha ngomakhalekhukhwini, ukuhweba nge-elekthronikhi, ukuhanjiswa kwezimpahla, amavidiyo amafushane, ukudilivwa kokudla kanye nemisebenzi ye-inthanethi zandise amathuba okufinyelela izimpahla, izinsizakalo kanye nolwazi. Ukusabalala kwama-smartphone kwenze nokuthi izakhamuzi eziningi ezisezindaweni ezikude zikwazi ukufinyelela izinsizakalo eziku-inthanethi. Lolu lwazi lokuthuthukiswa kwezobuchwepheshe lungase lube nomthelela endleleni umphakathi owahlulela ngayo ubuchwepheshe obusha. Lapho ubuchwepheshe bakudala bubhekwa abantu abaningi njengethuluzi lokuthuthukisa impilo nokwandisa amathuba, ukungaqiniseki okulethwa ubuchwepheshe obusha kuba lula ukuguquka kube yisifiso sokuzama nokubusebenzisa, kunokuba kube ukuphikisa.
Ngesikhathi esifanayo, eminyakeni yamuva kuye kwanda izingxabano zomphakathi ezihlobene nomkhakha wezobuchwepheshe eMelika, okubandakanya umthelela wezinkundla zokuxhumana entsheni, ulwazi olungamanga oluku-inthanethi, ubumfihlo bedatha kanye nokugxila kwamandla ezinkampanini zobuchwepheshe. Lezi zenzakalo zenze ingxenye yomphakathi waseMelika yanaka kakhulu ukuthi izinkampani zilawulwa ngempumelelo yini ngesikhathi kuthuthukiswa i-AI.
Kukhona futhi umehluko omkhulu ekwethembaneni nomthethonqubo. Ucwaningo lwaseStanford lubonisa ukuthi bangama-31% kuphela abaphenduli baseMelika abakholelwa ukuthi uhulumeni angakwazi ukulawula i-AI ngempumelelo, okuyizinga eliphansi kakhulu phakathi kwamazwe nezifunda ezihlolwe kulo mbiko. Uma kuqhathaniswa, iSingapore ibe ngu-81%, i-Indonesia yaba ngu-76%, kanti iMalaysia yaba ngu-73%.
Ucwaningo luka-Edelman lwango-2025 nalo lubonise ukuthi izinga lokwethemba i-AI kwabaphenduli baseChina lalingu-72%, kanti eMelika lalingu-32%. U-Edelman uthe ukuthi i-AI izokwazi yini ukuthola ukwethenjwa ngumphakathi kuzothinta isivinini sokwamukelwa kobuchwepheshe yizinkampani nabantu ngabanye.
Imibono yamazwe womabili ngobudlelwano phakathi kwezinkampani zobuchwepheshe nohulumeni nayo iyehluka. Umphakathi waseMelika ungase ukhathazeke kakhulu ngokuthi uhulumeni ngeke akwazi ukubeka imingcele ezinkampanini ezinkulu zobuchwepheshe ngesikhathi esifanele. Ukuhamba kwabantu phakathi kwezikhundla eziphezulu zezinkampani, abatshalizimali nohulumeni, kanye nemisebenzi yokunxenxa, nakho kungaqinisa lokhu kukhathazeka.
Ngaphezu kwalokho, ukwamukelwa kwe-AI emphakathini waseChina akusuki ngokuphelele ekubeni nethemba ngekusasa lobuchwepheshe. Kukhona futhi umuzwa “wokwesaba ukusala emuva” obangelwa ingcindezi yokuncintisana. Ezindaweni ezinomncintiswano omkhulu, abantu bangakhetha ukufunda nokusebenzisa i-AI ngokuzimisela ukuze bagweme ukusala emuva lapho ubuchwepheshe bushintsha.
EMelika kubonakala isimo esihlukile. Ucwaningo lwe-SurveyMonkey lwengxenye yesibili ka-2026 lubonise ukuthi u-38% wabantu baseMelika basebenzisa i-AI masonto onke noma nsuku zonke, okungaphezu kuka-30% kwengxenye yesibili ka-2025; u-70% wabantu abadala baseMelika uthe bake bayisebenzisa i-AI. Nokho, ukukhathazeka komphakathi waseMelika nge-AI akuphelanga ngenxa yalokho, njengoba u-33% wabaphenduli uthe uzizwa ekhathazekile nge-AI.